Next update · 20:00 UTC

Structural market stress before prices admit it

LSRI detects when isolated crypto stress starts becoming a systemic regime problem. Built for risk teams, allocators and systematic desks.

1 live score · 4 regimes · 6 assets · public proof

20:00 UTC brief Terminal + API Committee exports

View Pro & Institutional offers Explore quantitative validation

Not investment advice · Structural regime monitoring only · Data at 20:00 UTC daily

LSRI Structural Stress Index

— /100

—

Regime states 4

Assets tracked 6

Cadence Daily UTC

Evidence Public

NORMAL VIGILANCE STRESS CRITICAL

LUNA 2022 FTX

Live regime snapshot syncing…

Daily Regime Read

What changed inside the regime?

The hero gives the live score. This read explains what the desk should monitor next: deterioration, breadth and whether the signal is still local.

Daily interpretation

Current focus Syncing...

Desk stance Pending

Systemic stress Pending

30-day regime memory Syncing...

Normal Vigilance Stress Critical

Public read: LSRI identifies when isolated crypto stress starts to matter as a regime problem. Full asset drill-down, scenarios and exports stay inside Pro and Institutional.

Full terminal unlocks

Asset drill-down, time in regime and weakening contributors
Scenarios, contagion ρ, alerts and API access
Committee exports, replay packs and institutional workflow

What LSRI answers

The four key questions.

Institutional users do not need more noise. They need a repeatable answer to whether crypto risk is still local, spreading, or already systemic.

Is market stress isolated or spreading across major assets?

Has the global regime changed since the last daily snapshot?

Which assets are weakening inside the current regime?

Should risk be reduced now, or simply monitored?

What subscribers receive

One daily workflow: brief, terminal, committee snapshot.

LSRI is delivered as operational risk infrastructure, not another chart page.

Live / regime state

LSRI — —

One cross-asset stress read, updated daily, mapped to four operating regimes.

20:00 UTC brief

01Global market regime

02Major asset transitions

03Risk overlay and deterioration read

Daily delivery keeps the risk read repeatable without turning LSRI into a trading signal.

Committee mode

Snapshot PDF SHA-256 verified Replay pack linked

Institutional users can archive evidence for internal review and due diligence.

Quantitative validation

Numbers a serious buyer can verify

LSRI defensive overlay tested against passive BTC exposure. Public validation pages, no synthetic series, no invented drawdown claims.

OOS Sharpe 0.92 vs 0.39 BTC

LSRI defensive rule compared with fully invested BTC benchmark.

Max drawdown −32% vs −73% BTC

Defensive overlay compared with fully invested BTC exposure.

Typical lead time 19–60d

Documented before FTX 2022, COVID 2020 and the 2018 bear stress windows.

Archived transitions ~2,800 public log

Track record, methodology limits and replay pages remain verifiable.

Open validation hub See track record

Framework

4 regimes · one score · no black box

The LSRI Structural Stress Index (0–100) maps crypto market structure to four operational states.

NORMAL

Healthy structure — low structural stress band.

Score 0–30

VIGILANCE

Emerging fragility — increased monitoring.

Score 30–60

STRESS

Elevated shock risk — review exposure assumptions.

Score 60–80

CRITICAL

Structural breakdown — capital preservation priority.

Score 80–100

Traditional read	LSRI
Price & sentiment	Structure + unified regimes
Reactive headlines	Documented transitions (ex post proof)
Isolated indicators	0–100 structural stress index
Trade signals	Institutional risk monitoring

Validation & proof

One evidence trail, five entry points

Keep the public proof organized without hiding the depth: validation, track record, audit, crisis replay and SHA-256 verification.

Case studies

Documented stress episodes

LUNA, FTX and the 2022 cycle — full narratives on Research and quantitative validation on Backtests.

Research Terra / LUNA · May 2022 Structural depeg & transmission — regime log Research FTX · November 2022 Counterparty stress & venue failure path Audit Walk-forward validation OOS robustness summary — Engine v1.0

Ready when you are

Before the market admits it, LSRI reads the regime.

Subscribe via Stripe (Pro), or request institutional onboarding. Review methodology and track record first — risk monitoring, not trade picks.

Free

Public live monitoring preview: enough to understand the regime engine before checkout.

Start evaluation

$499/mo

Pro

Full risk terminal, daily Telegram brief, transition alerts, command center and one API key.

See Pro access

$999/mo

Institutional

Committee mode, replay pack, hashed exports, scenarios, richer API access and onboarding for teams.

See Institutional access