🟢 Current Crypto Risk Regime (Updated 20:00 UTC) BTC → — ETH → — SOL → —
Daily update · 20:00 UTC

CRASH EARLY WARNING
Daily Crypto Risk Regime

Detected 3 major crashes 30–60 days early. Monitor BTC, ETH, SOL with a simple daily regime state.

Most liquidations happen during structural stress regimes.

30–60d
Early Warning
3/3
Crashes Caught
0
False Alerts (tests)

BTC 2022 — Price & LSRI stress zone

LSRI entered STRESS before the worst of the selloff. Red zone = structural stress regime.

Live risk states (daily, after 20:00 UTC)

BTC
🟢 NORMAL
Last change: —
Last update: —
ETH
🟡 VIGILANCE
Last change: —
Last update: —
SOL
🟠 STRESS
Last change: —
Last update: —

Why LSRI exists

Crypto crashes rarely happen without warning.

Before major drawdowns, market structure usually deteriorates: liquidity thins, volatility expands, structural stress builds. LSRI monitors these signals daily and classifies the market into clear risk regimes.

NORMAL → healthy market VIGILANCE → instability building STRESS → high probability of sharp moves CRITICAL → structural breakdown

Real example: 2018 Bitcoin crash

Nov 13, 2018
LSRI entered STRESS
Dec 15, 2018
Bitcoin reached extreme drawdown

Lead time: 32 days

See full backtests →

How to use it

🟢
NORMAL
Market is structurally calm. Build or hold positions normally.
🟡
VIGILANCE
Tension is building. Watch leverage and concentration more closely.
🔴
STRESS / CRITICAL
High structural stress. Reduce size, avoid new aggressive trades.

LSRI doesn't predict price. It signals when the regime has already shifted into structural stress.

Ready to get early warning on structural crypto crashes?

Create account → Subscribe See backtests

Used by traders to monitor crypto market risk. Daily update. No noise.